In today’s big geopolitical shake-up, the US has unfrozen military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, signaling a reset in their strained relationship. This comes after Ukraine endorsed a US-backed ceasefire proposal—but there's a catch: Russia hasn’t agreed to it yet, meaning the war is far from over. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is pressuring Moscow, and President Trump has plans to discuss the matter directly with Putin. The deal spotlights Trump's signature transactional diplomacy—pulling support from Ukraine earlier for not aligning with his peace process, then offering it back after they complied. While a ceasefire could bring a momentary pause to the bloodshed, without long-term security guarantees, Ukraine's future remains uncertain. Or as Vox puts it, "a 'ceasefire' only one party has endorsed is more aptly described as 'a war.'"

Key Points:

• US Restores Military Aid: Following a period of frozen support, the US resumes assistance to Ukraine, including intelligence sharing.
• Ceasefire Proposal: Ukraine backs a US-brokered ceasefire, but Russia has yet to agree.
• Diplomatic Pressure on Russia: Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Russia to join the ceasefire, while Trump plans to speak with Putin.
• Uncertain Peace: Without a solid security guarantee, a ceasefire may be just a temporary halt, not a true resolution.
• Trump’s Foreign Policy Approach: The move highlights Trump's transactional style—cutting off Ukraine for non-compliance, then restoring support after they conceded.
• Strategic Fallout: This back-and-forth may weaken the US’s reputation as a reliable ally, potentially pushing partners to seek alternative alliances.

For Ukraine and the world, this deal could either be a turning point or just another chapter in a long, unresolved conflict. Keep an eye on how Russia responds—because until they sign on, the war isn’t over yet.
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